From: Colin McNamara (colin@2cups.com)
Date: Fri Dec 07 2007 - 13:11:44 ART
One interesting statistic I would like to see is the distribution of
ages across tracks. My guess is that will just over 10 years in the
program, the first CCIE's have migrated into the management / principle
consultant ranks. Once 2010-2011 rolls around the "CCIE baby boom" of
2000-2001 should be working their way into management.
Everybody sounds very afraid of a large number of new CCIE's competing
with them for engineering jobs in the market place, while what I think
we should really be worried about is having managers that know just a
little to much.
-- Colin McNamara (858)208-8105 CCIE #18233,RHCE,GCIH http://www.2cups.com"The difficult we do immediately, the impossible just takes a little longer"
On Wed, 2007-12-05 at 20:20 -0500, Paul Dardinski wrote: > Darby, > > Please note that I am absolutely certain that Cisco will not allow the > cert to be devalued. Whenever the magic number hits 30k or whatever is > really irrelevant. It's a very difficult test and quite highly valued in > the industry and this has basically caused a larger number to pursue it. > > > As has been said before here, it's not so much what the number is vs. > what it means. Honestly I haven't met too many CCIE's who didn't know > what they were talking about. Yes, there will always be a few bad > apples, but in the end it's only a milestone, not an > ending.....besides...there will always be room for differentiation by > dual-cert, etc. > > PD (#16842) > > -----Original Message----- > From: nobody@groupstudy.com [mailto:nobody@groupstudy.com] On Behalf Of > Darby Weaver > Sent: Wednesday, December 05, 2007 7:13 PM > To: Scott Vermillion; 'Joseph Brunner'; 'Gary Duncanson'; 'cindy tanner' > Cc: ccielab@groupstudy.com > Subject: OT: RE: magic numbers > > Actually, the CCIE with number 30,000 will likely > occur at the current rate by the end of 2008. > > The number 20,000 will happen pretty close to the end > of 2007 at the current rate, unless we just got a big > fluke. > > > Now the number of active CCIE's will dwindle as well. > > As Narbik pointed only about 16,000 or so active at > the moment. > > Many get into other lucrative careers, advance in > management or other aspects of I.T. > > And then there are those who reap what they sow and > find out that a piece of paper truly holds anything. > I suspect these folks may maintain their certs but > some will just let go - it is a value proposition. > > Overall the outlook is favorable. However, the golden > halo days are numbered. > > Of course being a CCIE versus not being a CCIE.... > Still is a worth its while. > > > > > --- Scott Vermillion <scott_ccie_list@it-ag.com> > wrote: > > > Yeah, but it's kinda like guessing the number of > > jellybeans in a really, > > really large jar. I'm drawn to such nonsense (and > > rarely guess anywhere > > near correctly)... > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: Joseph Brunner > > [mailto:joe@affirmedsystems.com] > > Sent: Wednesday, December 05, 2007 3:57 PM > > To: 'Scott Vermillion'; 'Gary Duncanson'; 'cindy > > tanner' > > Cc: ccielab@groupstudy.com > > Subject: RE: magic numbers > > > > Any takers on when 30k comes to pass?? > > > > October 2010 > > > > Guess what? > > > > By then the number certified *might* be 20,000. Many > > who have it now will > > lapse, pass away, retire from the business, etc. > > > > Which in a world of million networks means it's > > still going to be quite a > > good living. > > > > Imagine in the WHOLE WORLD there were *only* 20,000 > > doctors... Imagine how > > much each one would make... > > > > ;) > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: nobody@groupstudy.com > > [mailto:nobody@groupstudy.com] On Behalf Of > > Scott Vermillion > > Sent: Wednesday, December 05, 2007 2:44 PM > > To: 'Gary Duncanson'; 'cindy tanner' > > Cc: ccielab@groupstudy.com > > Subject: RE: magic numbers > > > > I can only hope it takes that long Gary! (and that > > I somehow miraculously > > pass on my first attempt in early Feb). Any takers > > on when 30k comes to > > pass?? > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: nobody@groupstudy.com > > [mailto:nobody@groupstudy.com] On Behalf Of Gary > > Duncanson > > Sent: Wednesday, December 05, 2007 12:27 PM > > To: cindy tanner > > Cc: ccielab@groupstudy.com > > Subject: Re: magic numbers > > > > Cindy, > > > > It's a mystery to me. I reckon we will be 20000 come > > end of February. > > > > Regards > > Gary > > ----- Original Message ----- > > From: "cindy tanner" <cindy.a.tanner@gmail.com> > > To: <ccielab@groupstudy.com> > > Sent: Wednesday, December 05, 2007 7:10 PM > > Subject: OT: magic numbers > > > > > > > Experts, > > > As I study and watch the messages go by, I have > > noticed that numbers > > > 19499 > > > and 19519 seem to have occurred on the same day. > > Is Cisco turning out 20 > > > CCIEs per day? I assumed Cisco assigned numbers > > sequentially - maybe > > > this > > > is not the case? Anybody know? > > > > > > Cindy > > > cindy.a.tanner@gmail.com > > > > > > > > > _______________________________________________________________________ > > > Subscription information may be found at: > > > http://www.groupstudy.com/list/CCIELab.html > > > > > _______________________________________________________________________ > > Subscription information may be found at: > > http://www.groupstudy.com/list/CCIELab.html > > > > > _______________________________________________________________________ > > Subscription information may be found at: > > http://www.groupstudy.com/list/CCIELab.html > > > > > _______________________________________________________________________ > > Subscription information may be found at: > > http://www.groupstudy.com/list/CCIELab.html > > _______________________________________________________________________ > Subscription information may be found at: > http://www.groupstudy.com/list/CCIELab.html > > _______________________________________________________________________ > Subscription information may be found at: > http://www.groupstudy.com/list/CCIELab.html
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